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Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After NFL MVP Season, New Contract

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Quarterback Josh Allen is firmly in the conversation as the NFL’s top dog after taking home Most Valuable Player honors for the 2024 season. The Buffalo Bills rewarded his continued ascent with a six-year, $330 million contract extension. So, as crazy as the question may sound, is now the time to put Allen on the trade block in dynasty fantasy football leagues?

Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook (2025 Fantasy Football)

Bills Superstar’s Current Production

No player can match Allen’s combination of high-end production and consistency. He’s recorded at least 40 total touchdowns in five straight seasons, which is an NFL record, and his 117 straight starts is the longest active streak among quarterbacks.

Here’s a look at his overall numbers from 2024:

  • Passing: 63.6 percent completion rate, 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns and 6 interceptions
  • Rushing: 102 carries for 531 yards and 12 touchdowns

Translated to fantasy numbers, Allen ranked second among players in total points (385) behind only the Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson in standard leagues, per FantasyPros.

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None of this is a surprise, of course. The 28-year-old California native has established himself as an elite quarterback in both the real and fantasy worlds. You had to pay a premium to get him if you’ve drafted your dynasty league at any point since 2020.

The question is whether a dual-threat quarterback will be able to maintain that high level of play. He’s coming off a campaign where he battled various injuries, including a wrist injury suffered during the team’s playoff loss to the Kansas City Chiefs.

“Get away, let the body heal,” Allen told reporters at season’s end. “Got bumps and bruises from last night, took a few shots. Just trying to make sure that my body’s in as good as condition as it can be given maybe a week or two and just kind of getting back to work.”

The three-time Pro Bowler takes far more hits than the average signal-caller, and those tend to take a cumulative tool over the years.

Josh Allen Dynasty Price

Allen is the No. 1 quarterback and the No. 11 overall player in dynasty leagues, according to the ranking website KeepTradeCut. His value score is 7914—Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson paces the metric at 9999—and he’s 400 points above the next quarterback, Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders.

Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After MVP Season

Allen is going to remain a top-tier quarterback for the next handful of years. While there’s virtually no doubt about that, his long-term outlook is a little more murky.

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The University of Wyoming product isn’t afraid of trying to take on contact. Yes, the Bills have successfully coached some of that out of him in recent years, but he’s always going to want the ball in his hands in close games, even if that means taking extra hits.

All of the damage he’s taken over his first seven NFL seasons is going to catch up with him eventually. He’s not a pure pocket passer like Tom Brady, who remained productive into his 40s. He’d be wise to start adapting his style of play more in that direction if he does want to play for another decade-plus, though.

Meanwhile, the Bills have been adamant about building a more balanced offense. It’s an effort buoyed by the strong play of running back James Cook in recent years. Check out Allen’s passing attempts by season since throwing the ball a career-high number of times in 2021:

  • 2021: 646
  • 2022: 567
  • 2023: 579
  • 2024: 483

Those numbers are not trending in the right direction from a fantasy perspective. Allen’s legs have allowed him to remain valuable, but there are reasons for concern buried beneath the surface.

What To Do With Bills Quarterback in Dynasty Leagues

This is the perfect offseason to see if anyone is willing to overpay for Allen in a trade. That doesn’t mean you absolutely have to move him. At worst, you keep a quarterback who should once again be the top scorers in fantasy football in 2025.

Yet, considering positional scarcity and Allen’s injury-filled 2024, now’s the time to see whether he could be flipped for a couple of young wide receivers. Or perhaps you could package Allen and a wide receiver to land someone like the New York Giants‘ Malik Nabers.

Fantasy football is all about selling high and buying low. That’s the only path to sustained, long-term success. If you have a championship roster now, maintaining the status quo may keep your title window open for a few years, but eventually, a rebuild will be inevitable.

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On the other hand, while there’s an obvious risk with constantly trying to trade players at peak value, the upside is staying in the title picture indefinitely. Move superstars before their decline arrives.

Allen will probably never have more trade value than he does right now. In turn, dynasty managers are doing themselves a disservice if they aren’t at least considering offers. Throw the quarterback on the trade block and see if anyone tosses out an insane proposal.

If not, lock him in as your QB1 again in 2025 and see what the next offseason holds.

Main Photo: Tina MacIntyre-Yee/Democrat and Chronicle-USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The post Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After NFL MVP Season, New Contract appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.